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Jeff Sparks's avatar

I can't see Thaksin ever accepting jail. He will surely flee if there's any inkling the case will go against him.

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Howard Banwell's avatar

The Shinawatra family's world seems to be collapsing around both themselves and their Pheu Thai party. Electorally, the People's Party and Bhumjaithai will be the most likely to benefit if an election were to be called. But meanwhile, effective governance goes from bad to worse, and the military's position has strengthened significantly given strong support from most Thais for their response to the Cambodian border clashes and the lack of civilian government leadership in this regard. Unless the current government ups its act in the coming months, I suspect another coup could well be on the cards -- and even be welcomed by a large proportion of the population. Any thoughts?

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RM Gregg's avatar

Rather then a coup, it seems more likely a military backed political party could come out on top in an election it didn't necessarily win the most votes in, just like Pheu Thai did last election.

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